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GT500 vs Z06, & FOMOCO observations

Discussion in 'Shelby Mustang List' started by Roger, Feb 16, 2006.

  1. Roger

    Roger Guest

    Pete makes an interesting comment regarding being tired of hearing about
    the Z06.

    I'm one of the guys who early assumed I would buy the first new GT500 to
    be available at MSRP, and lately have been so turned off--disgusted--by
    the dealers that at this point I am starting to look at alternatives,
    because I simply won't play the dealer markup game. In fact, it makes
    me want to continue staying away from Ford dealers, just as I have for
    all these decades since I bought my GT500 from a dealer when it was new.

    Comes the Z06. It's a real nice collection of modern technology with
    its magnesium roof structure, carbon fiber & balsa core floor,
    incredible power, fantastic great looks, and reasonable price for the
    performance. I must admit, I'm quite taken by it.

    I can afford either car, and I can get the Z06 for MSRP, probably even a
    little bit less since I've bought several Chevrolets from our local
    dealer. Meanwhile, the Ford dealer is staffed by cretins who promise to
    call but don't, act like idiots (one of them wrecked a brand new Mustang
    GT before it was delivered to its buyer--AND HE'S STILL WORKING FOR THE
    DEALER!), want a ridiculous premium over MSRP when/if they get a GT500,
    and besides they all stink from smoking in their office.

    With so many interesting alternatives in the marketplace, the GT500 is
    going to have to be sold at MSRP by a dealer who's nice about it, or not
    only will I continue avoiding Ford shops but also I think it's an
    indicator that the company itself will keep sliding into irrelevance in
    the market. By "continue" I mean...look: Their stock price is $8 now
    versus $35 in the late '90's, about an 75% decline. Toyota went down in
    this same time frame too, from $100 to about $40, a 60% decline. The
    difference is that TM stock is now back to $100 while F languishes in
    the doldroms with nary a bounce off the bottom, assuming it's even
    reached that point yet.

    Toyota's been focusing on engineering & quality for decades, while
    Ford's been trying to do...what? I don't know. They don't really have
    much of a reputation for anything...not stying, not quality, certainly
    not financial excellence and definitely not the customer experience.

    At least GM & D-C have great styling houses. Is anyone actually moved
    by the looks of the new GT500 or the Mustang? It's OK. No breakout
    design at all. Typical of literally everything from Ford.

    What will happen to Ford if they can't fix themselves? I wonder if BMW
    or VW would like to expand their North American ownership presence.
    Heck, at the rate that F is dropping in market cap, probably Fiat or a
    resuscitated British Leland could pick it up.

    Full disclosure: We have an XJ8, and I will sometime buy one of the new
    aluminum bodied XJR's, though probably not from a dealer. So I don't
    completely shun newer Fords, if you consider a Jag to be one. Besides,
    Jags only require 1 or 2 Sundays per month of work these days to keep
    them going.

    Roger
    WA State--The Wet Coast
     
  2. Dave

    Dave Guest

    GT500 availability rant:
    A lot of the problem lies in the way the dealers are allocated “hot”
    product. I ordered a ’03 MACH 1 when they were announced. The dealer in
    Phoenix wrote the order at $500 over invoice. I was to be the 4th car
    for them, same pricing as the other 3 buyers. I was told in February
    that they probably wouldn’t get the car allocated, so I started shopping
    around. I ended up buying from a dealer in another part of the state for
    MSRP. I was happy, and most dealers were adding markup by then. By
    summer, the car cooled off, FORD had over produced and started offering
    rebates. At the end of the year they were selling at invoice with a
    $3500 rebate in my area.
    My point is, if I (and anyone who wants one) orders a GT500, build it
    and ship it to the dealer. I have no problem paying MSRP. I won’t pay a
    premium over sticker though. FORD corporate will make a predetermined
    profit per unit at MSRP, so it makes better sense to build as many as
    there are customers. I see no advantage for FORD when the dealers hold
    cars waiting for a premium. There is dealer profit built into the price
    and probably backend money as well. If dealers are having a tough time,
    they ought to concentrate on selling their entire line, not squeezing
    markup out of a few cars because they are currently hot. If they don’t
    think there is enough profit in the car, ask FORD to include an extra
    $5K into the factory sticker price for them to keep. Not likely to
    happen. Like it or not, MSRP is a benchmark value of the car set by FORD.
    Rant over, I feel better now.

    Dave
    6S1497
     
  3. ecj

    ecj Guest

    Message

    The Ford family controls the part of the stock that controls the company. The company cannot be taken over from them by buying regular stock in the company.



     



    Jim Seisser


    -----Original Message-----
    From: Roger
    Sent: Feb 14, 2006 1:34 PM
    To: shelbymustang (AT) carmemories (DOT) com
    Subject: GT500 vs Z06, & FOMOCO observations





    Pete makes an interesting comment regarding being tired of hearing about the Z06. 



     



    I'm one of the guys who early assumed I would buy the first new GT500 to be available at MSRP, and lately have been so turned off--disgusted--by the dealers that at this point I am starting to look at alternatives, because I simply won't play the dealer markup game.  In fact, it makes me want to continue staying away from Ford dealers, just as I have for all these decades since I bought my GT500 from a dealer when it was new.



     



    Comes the Z06.  It's a real nice collection of modern technology with its magnesium roof structure, carbon fiber & balsa core floor, incredible power, fantastic great looks, and reasonable price for the performance.  I must admit, I'm quite taken by it.



     



    I can afford either car, and I can get the Z06 for MSRP, probably even a little bit less since I've bought several Chevrolets from our local dealer.  Meanwhile, the Ford dealer is staffed by cretins who promise to call but don't, act like idiots (one of them wrecked a brand new Mustang GT before it was delivered to its buyer--AND HE'S STILL WORKING FOR THE DEALER!), want a ridiculous premium over MSRP when/if they get a GT500, and besides they all stink from smoking in their office. 



     



    With so many interesting alternatives in the marketplace, the GT500 is going to have to be sold at MSRP by a dealer who's nice about it, or not only will I continue avoiding Ford shops but also I think it's an indicator that the company itself will keep sliding into irrelevance in the market.  By "continue" I mean...look:  Their stock price is $8 now versus $35 in the late '90's, about an 75% decline.  Toyota went down in this same time frame too, from $100 to about $40, a 60% decline.  The difference is that TM stock is now back to $100 while F languishes in the doldroms with nary a bounce off the bottom, assuming it's even reached that point yet.



     



    Toyota's been focusing on engineering & quality for decades, while Ford's been trying to do...what?  I don't know.  They don't really have much of a reputation for anything...not stying, not quality, certainly not financial excellence and definitely not the customer experience.



     



    At least GM & D-C have great styling houses.  Is anyone actually moved by the looks of the new GT500 or the Mustang?  It's OK.  No breakout design at all.  Typical of literally everything from Ford.



     



    What will happen to Ford if they can't fix themselves?  I wonder if BMW or VW would like to expand their North American ownership presence.  Heck, at the rate that F is dropping in market cap, probably Fiat or a resuscitated British Leland could pick it up.



     



    Full disclosure:  We have an XJ8, and I will sometime buy one of the new aluminum bodied XJR's, though probably not from a dealer.  So I don't completely shun newer Fords, if you consider a Jag to be one.  Besides, Jags only require 1 or 2 Sundays per month of work these days to keep them going.



     



    Roger



    WA State--The Wet Coast



    ________________________________________ PeoplePC Online A better way to Internet http://www.peoplepc.com
     
  4. like my brother said so well
    "I will not pay more for something than the manufacturer said was worth"

    bob
     
  5. Just about all of the very most highly anticipated "enthusiast" type cars
    have historically been marked up by the dealers of all their respective
    manufacturers upon initial introduction. I had to argue with the sales
    manager of the dealership I ordered my 2005 Mustang GT from in early
    December 2004 because I wanted to buy it at Ford employee D-Plan pricing.
    They insited they could sell it for over MSRP - I said I could wait a few
    months and buy it from a different dealer - he saw it my way.
    I just spoke with our Ford Field Quality Engineer at work today here in Las
    Vegas about the new GT500 and he informed me that this new Shelby won't be
    nearly as limited production as some of you are hoping - sorry to break some
    of your investment dreams out there. He told me the initial sales projection
    is 7,700 units, and are planning for a run of up to 10,000! If you are
    interested - wait three or four months after they first start going on sale.
    Bernie Smith
    69 GT500 #0018

    ----- Original Message -----
    From: "Dave" <deurich (AT) charter (DOT) net>
    To: <rogerhol (AT) willapabay (DOT) org>
    Cc: <shelbymustang (AT) carmemories (DOT) com>
    Sent: Tuesday, February 14, 2006 4:14 PM
    Subject: Re: GT500 vs Z06, & FOMOCO observations


    > GT500 availability rant:
    > A lot of the problem lies in the way the dealers are allocated “hot”
    > product. I ordered a ’03 MACH 1 when they were announced. The dealer in
    > Phoenix wrote the order at $500 over invoice. I was to be the 4th car for
    > them, same pricing as the other 3 buyers. I was told in February that they
    > probably wouldn’t get the car allocated, so I started shopping around. I
    > ended up buying from a dealer in another part of the state for MSRP. I was
    > happy, and most dealers were adding markup by then. By summer, the car
    > cooled off, FORD had over produced and started offering rebates. At the
    > end of the year they were selling at invoice with a $3500 rebate in my
    > area.
    > My point is, if I (and anyone who wants one) orders a GT500, build it and
    > ship it to the dealer. I have no problem paying MSRP. I won’t pay a
    > premium over sticker though. FORD corporate will make a predetermined
    > profit per unit at MSRP, so it makes better sense to build as many as
    > there are customers. I see no advantage for FORD when the dealers hold
    > cars waiting for a premium. There is dealer profit built into the price
    > and probably backend money as well. If dealers are having a tough time,
    > they ought to concentrate on selling their entire line, not squeezing
    > markup out of a few cars because they are currently hot. If they don’t
    > think there is enough profit in the car, ask FORD to include an extra $5K
    > into the factory sticker price for them to keep. Not likely to happen.
    > Like it or not, MSRP is a benchmark value of the car set by FORD.
    > Rant over, I feel better now.
    >
    > Dave
    > 6S1497
    >
    >
     
  6. In a message dated 2/15/2006 1:18:08 AM Eastern Standard Time,
    bigb427 (AT) cox (DOT) net writes:
    Just about all of the very most highly anticipated "enthusiast" type cars
    have historically been marked up by the dealers of all their respective
    manufacturers upon initial introduction. I had to argue with the sales
    manager of the dealership I ordered my 2005 Mustang GT from in early
    December 2004 because I wanted to buy it at Ford employee D-Plan pricing.
    They insited they could sell it for over MSRP - I said I could wait a few
    months and buy it from a different dealer - he saw it my way.
    I just spoke with our Ford Field Quality Engineer at work today here in Las
    Vegas about the new GT500 and he informed me that this new Shelby won't be
    nearly as limited production as some of you are hoping - sorry to break some
    of your investment dreams out there. He told me the initial sales projection
    is 7,700 units, and are planning for a run of up to 10,000! If you are
    interested - wait three or four months after they first start going on sale.
    Bernie Smith
    69 GT500 #0018
    Bernie,

    That confirms what I heard at the auto show from some of the UAW people they
    had on the Ford stand.

    Once you get over a couple of thousand cars (the production run for the 1967
    GT500's, actually), rarity is usually more a matter of supply and demand than
    actual scarcity, especially for a car that is not really a mass market item.
    For example, my 1985 SVO is one of about 10,000 made over three years. Great
    car, but not exactly high value, even though it cost considerably more than
    the V8 Mustang GT's of the day. In fact, it's worth much less than my 1955
    T-Bird, which was definitely a mass market car and, although nice, is not in
    anywhere near the condition of my SVO. However, people just love the two-seat
    Birds, impractical though they may be, and I doubt that that many people, even
    within the hobby, know what an SVO is!

    Many of the dealers that try to stick it to the first few buyers are going to
    suffer the same opportunity cost as the ones that have held onto the Ford
    GT's in hopes of getting a huge premium. That ship has sailed, and I believe
    that the SS GT500 will have an even earlier departure. I still want one, but it
    will be purchased at MSRP or less!

    Mike Heroy
    CSX4045
    67 GT500 #841
    68 GT500 #389
     
  7. Phil

    Phil Guest

    On Feb 14, 2006, at 10:17 PM, bigb427 {Bernard Smith} wrote:

    > Just about all of the very most highly anticipated "enthusiast" type
    > cars have historically been marked up by the dealers of all their
    > respective manufacturers upon initial introduction. I had to argue
    > with the sales manager of the dealership I ordered my 2005 Mustang GT
    > from in early December 2004 because I wanted to buy it at Ford
    > employee D-Plan pricing. They insited they could sell it for over MSRP
    > - I said I could wait a few months and buy it from a different dealer
    > - he saw it my way.
    > I just spoke with our Ford Field Quality Engineer at work today here
    > in Las Vegas about the new GT500 and he informed me that this new
    > Shelby won't be nearly as limited production as some of you are hoping
    > - sorry to break some of your investment dreams out there. He told me
    > the initial sales projection is 7,700 units, and are planning for a
    > run of up to 10,000! If you are interested - wait three or four
    > months after they first start going on sale.



    Most of us can put our names on the MSRP list, but the reality is this.
    Perhaps Ford will build 10-12k this year, I hope so. I dont think you
    guys realize how big the market is going to be for this car. You have
    got all the current Shelby owners, the guys who have been priced out of
    the classic Shelby market , the SVT guys, and then throw in all the
    other markets on top of these.

    I will be patient as well but I am praying for an extended build.


    Phil Sanchez

    #2005 67 GT350
    1966 GT350 clone
    1986 Mustang SVO
    1986 Mustang GT
    1986 Ex CHP Mustang
    2005 GT500?
     
  8. In a message dated 2/15/2006 8:48:52 AM Pacific Standard Time,
    phil (AT) pacificorca (DOT) com writes:

    > >the initial sales projection is 7,700 units, and are planning for a
    > >run of up to 10,000!


    And if Ford follows their "typical" approach to SVT vehicles, they'll
    schedule the "build" in one (or maybe two) "big chunks" (for "effeciency")...which
    has almost always meant that "all" the vehicles hit the dealership floors in a
    relatively short period of time. That *glut* in turn results in a (temporary)
    "overstock" situation, which leads to "discount pricing" to minimize the
    accumulating flooring costs....

    We'll see, eh?
     
  9. I know I am late in responding to this string. There is so much hype in the
    air regarding the 2007 Shelby that people think they will have to pay a huge
    prmium to buy one. I remember back in 1989 When the Corvette first came out
    with the 1990 ZR-1, the cars soared upward of $100,000 at the begining of
    the release. Then the premuim dropped to $5,000 over sticker ($60,000 sticker)
    and if you really looked around, you could have bought one for sticker. I
    had a deposit for one at sticker with a classic corvette dealer who had an
    agreement with a dealership that he gets one of every corvette type issued. The
    classic corvette dealer was screwed and I did not get the car (yes, I did
    get my money back). A year later the 1991 cars were selling under sticker.
    Once the "frenzy" is over from the people who have to be the first on the
    block with the new car, things will calm down on the 2007 Shelby. The dealers
    are being offered money and they are going to take it. If XYZ dealership has
    ten customers willing to pay a premium with only two cars available then
    they will sell the cars. People were so eager to be on a list that the dealers
    can ask rediculous premiums.
    This has become common with Corvettes and Mustangs, even a car like the PT
    cruiser sold above sticker when it first came out. Most of the people on this
    list are bright individuals. Forget the emotion of what is going on and
    look at the situation. If all of these dealers have long lists, then they have
    more demand than product. The demand is actually less than what many dealers
    believe, because people have themselves on multiple lists to ensure they
    have an opportunity to get a Shelby. Let the cars get to the dealers and the
    cars will settle down in price. Ford is not thriving because a lack of new
    product lines, labor agreements, and other economic factors.

    Lee
    66 # 869
    69 # 2055
     

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